Summary of installed capacity of the hottest photo

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Summary of the installed capacity of photovoltaic countries in 2012 forecast 2013

2013 is coming, and people in the photovoltaic market industry in 2013 have various expectations. Here, the author predicts the installed capacity of major photovoltaic markets in the world in 2013 according to the forecasts of professional institutions, the analysis of some media and his own judgment, hoping to provide some reference for photovoltaic enterprises to explore downstream markets and get out of difficulties

1. Germany - the installed capacity in 2013 is expected to be 6.5gw

the installed capacity in Germany is expected to be 7.7gw in 2012 and 6.5gw in 2013. As early as the beginning of 2012, the German subsidy reduction plan was officially introduced. It is estimated that the target of new installed capacity in that year is 2.5~3.5gw. Since then, the target has decreased by 400MW every year. However, the performance of the German photovoltaic market this year was astonishing, reaching a record breaking 8GW. This situation is mainly caused by two reasons: first, the installed cost has fallen too fast. Even if the subsidy is reduced, the power station investors are still profitable. At the same time, the continuous adjustment of subsidies promotes the frequent phenomenon of "rush loading", and the installed capacity thus increases instead of decreasing. Secondly, the electricity price of traditional energy in Germany is rising, which may rise by 12% in 2013. This rising trend makes the cost of photovoltaic power generation more and more competitive. Therefore, most German people begin to consider investing in photovoltaic power generation to save electricity costs

the Minister of environment of Germany has publicly stated that the installed PV capacity in Germany will fall by half to 3.5~4gw in 2013, but experts believe that unless Germany makes major policy adjustments, it is difficult to control the current development trend, so Germany's installed PV capacity of 6.5gw in 2013 is also a probable event

2. The installed capacity of the United States in 2013 is expected to be 3.9gw

according to the prediction of GTM, the United States will install 1.2gw photovoltaic systems in the fourth quarter of 2012, which will increase the installed capacity of the United States in 2012 to 3.2gw. In 2013, the installed capacity of PV in the United States is expected to reach 3.9gw, and this figure will reach 8GW by 2016

American experts believe that the fundamental reason for the growth of the local market is the reduction of photovoltaic power generation costs. Of course, the rise of third-party leasing business in the United States has also played a crucial role, but the cost is still the primary reason. After the United States launched the "double reverse" of photovoltaic in China, the local component prices did not increase, but continued to fall, which laid the foundation for the rise of the U.S. market again in 2013

3. China - the installed capacity in 2013 is expected to exceed 6Gw

part of the supporting policies issued by the Chinese government in the second half of the year will have a release effect next year. The total bidding volume of the "golden sun demonstration project (second batch)" in 2012 is about 2.83gw, and this part of the installed capacity will be mainly concentrated in next year. In addition, the first batch of distributed photovoltaic power stations declared during the "12th Five Year Plan" is about 15gw. If all of them are approved, the average annual installed capacity will be 5GW. Therefore, China's photovoltaic installed capacity exceeding 6Gw in 2013 is a high probability event, which is likely to surpass Germany and take the lead

4. Japan - the installed capacity in 2013 is expected to be 2.3gw

in 2012, the installed capacity of PV in Japan was 1.398gw, of which civil PV systems accounted for 1.027gw and non civil PV systems only accounted for 371mw. Up to now, the Ministry of economy, industry and trade of Japan has approved about 3.262gw new production lines, which are planned to be put into production in the middle of 2019. The research and development of photovoltaic photovoltaic materials will strengthen the competitiveness of HP plastics industry. Although these systems cannot be merged in this year, the Ministry of economy, industry and trade predicts that at least 600MW systems will be connected to power by the end of March 2013

unlike the European and Chinese markets, Japan's photovoltaic market is the most stable because it has all the conditions for the development of photovoltaic, including highly developed economic conditions, the energy vacuum formed after the shutdown of nuclear power, higher electricity price subsidies, perfect laws and regulations, etc. Looking forward to 2013, Japan's photovoltaic installed capacity is expected to reach 2.3gw

5. India - the installed capacity of PV in 2013 is expected to be 1.5gw

according to the news released by the Indian consulting agency, 20 has unique geographical advantages. The installed capacity of PV in India in the first three quarters of 2012 was 401.74mw, 340.62mw and 67.25mw respectively. Although the installed capacity in the fourth quarter has not been announced, the installed capacity of PV in India will remain at about 1GW in 2012, achieving a historic breakthrough

looking forward to 2013, even until 2017, it is certain that India's photovoltaic market will not have explosive growth, and it is a good result to maintain a steady progress. Therefore, India's photovoltaic installed capacity will remain at about 1.5gw in 2013, and the same will be true in the next three or four years. India's Ministry of new and renewable energy (MnRe) recently introduced the Jawaharlal? The draft of the solar energy policy for the second phase of the Nehru national solar energy plan (jnnsm) shows that the country will achieve the goal of installing 10GW by 2017 mainly through public facility level projects, with an average annual photovoltaic installation of 2gw. However, India's economy is extremely backward, and the funding gap has become the primary factor affecting the country's photovoltaic installed capacity growth, so the possibility of achieving the set goals is very small

among Southeast Asian countries, India is the most potential photovoltaic market. Its power facilities ensure that additives are released into the external environment as little as possible within the service life of functional plastics. It is extremely backward. About 20% of the population, that is, 225million people, have no power supply, which has become the driving force for the Indian government and some subordinate institutions to vigorously develop photovoltaic power generation

6. South Africa - Photovoltaic installation ushered in a leap forward development, reaching hundreds of megawatts next year

South Africa has only begun to develop the photovoltaic industry since 2010. After one or two years of gestation, it is a foregone conclusion that the construction of photovoltaic power stations in South Africa will usher in a leap forward development in 2013. In 2012, the South African government approved hundreds of megawatts of photovoltaic power station projects, making abb, SMA, firstsolar, Hanhua new energy, Yingli, Jinke, poly GCL, Suntech and other domestic and foreign enterprises set up plants or develop related businesses in South Africa, and most of them won orders ranging from 50MW to 150MW. It is estimated that the installed capacity of PV in South Africa will reach about 500MW in 2013, undoubtedly becoming a leader in emerging markets

the renewable energy independent power generation project in South Africa has been launched. The project plans to install 1.45gw photovoltaic power stations in South Africa by 2014 and 8.2gw by 2030. South Africa is located in the southernmost part of the African continent and receives more than 2500 hours of sunshine throughout the year, more than twice the sunshine time in most parts of Europe. It is suitable for the development of photovoltaic power generation industry. In addition, as the most developed economy in the African continent, South Africa's GDP growth rate is far faster than that of other countries, so its demand for electricity is also greater. From the perspective of demand, economic strength and natural conditions, South Africa has the conditions to start the photovoltaic market, and its potential can not be underestimated

7. Romania - in 2013, photovoltaic installed capacity MW

photovoltaic power generation developed rapidly in Romania, and is expected to marginalize Romania's nuclear power by 2016. An official of the Romanian energy department said that the installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in Romania was 50~100mw in 2012, 500~1000mw in 2013 and 1.5gw in 2016. According to the current development speed of Romania, this goal is very likely to be achieved

before the rise of photovoltaic power generation, nuclear power played an important role in Romania's energy composition, accounting for about 18% of the country's energy demand. Romania now has two nuclear reactors, and the government plans to double them. However, the high investment of up to 4billion euros makes it difficult to find corresponding investors, and is forced to run aground, giving photovoltaic power unlimited development space

at present, renewable energy accounts for 8% to 9% of Romania's entire energy system, and it is expected to reach 20% by 2020. In May 2012, pvromania, a professional Photovoltaic Station, regarded Romania as one of the six largest photovoltaic markets with the most development potential in Europe, further highlighting the importance of this market to photovoltaic enterprises

8. Italy - the installed PV capacity in 2013 is expected to be 3gw

as early as the beginning of 2012, the famous PV research institution imsresearch predicted that the Italian PV market would fall below 3gw for two consecutive years. Now, the probability of this prediction is quite high. Italy's photovoltaic installed capacity in the leading quarter of 2012 was only more than 200 MW, and the annual installed capacity will not exceed 3gw, and 2013 will be even worse than 2012

on August 27, the latest version of Italy's Renewable Energy Act (contoenergia) came into force. Around this bill, various forecast versions have been produced. Experts have said that the available subsidy funds in Italy are less than 700million euros, and will be consumed as soon as the leading quarter in 2013, which is the result of excessive overdraft of the Italian photovoltaic market in 2011. Although the Italian policy has not been determined yet, the downturn is difficult to change

9. France - the installed PV capacity in 2013 is expected to be 1 5GW

according to cgdd, in the first half of 2012, the newly added PV installed capacity registered in France reached 709mw, down 8% from the same period last year. In the third quarter of 2012, France added 241mw of photovoltaic capacity. It is speculated that the installed PV capacity in France in 2012 was between 1.2 and 1.4gw

at the end of November 2012, the French Ministry of environment and energy reduced the subsidy for photovoltaic electricity price from 10.24 euro cents (13.11 cents) per kWh to 8.40 euro cents (10.76 cents) per kWh, dating back to October 1, 2012. Although the subsidy is reduced, it is expected that the installed capacity of PV in France will still grow steadily. This speculation stems from two reasons: first, the installed cost of PV continues to decrease, and some investors are still profitable; Second, France is not overdrawn the photovoltaic market as Italy, so its installation volume will gradually rise, with a slight increase next year. Looking forward to 2013, the installed capacity of PV in France is expected to be 1.2~1.5gw

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